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is a blog to give a fresh angle on a fascinating and beautiful Caribbean Island country that, despite being relatively small and with only 11 million people, has been a major player in American and world politics for a half century. I also suggest you try www.havanatimes.org

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

The World Prepares for US Without Bush

By Circles Robinson with help from the Financial Times
October, 2005

Plans for a “transition” in the United States after the demise of George W. Bush has entered a new stage, with a special office for reconstruction inside the World Peoples Forum preparing for the “day after”, when humanity will try to back a democratic government in Washington.

The multi-national effort, which also involves armed resistance and national liberation groups, recognizes that the US transition may not go peacefully and that it might prove necessary to launch a nation-building exercise.

Frank Smith, the US transition coordinator, is working on the project within the Forum’s Office for Reconstruction and Stabilization, which was established by the general assembly to prevent and prepare for post-conflict situations.

Every six months, the Forum’s Intelligence Council revises a list of countries in which instability could require emergency intervention. The reconstruction office, headed by David Doe– a US born expert on world affairs – was focused on Colombia, Haiti, Peru, Nepal, Iraq, and Afghanistan. In a consensus move after Katrina, the United States was added to the list.

The US Congress, which funds “projects” of conflict management in other countries, declined to lend its expertise to this project. “No one has the right to judge us,” said a top congressional aide.

Mr. Smith acknowledges wearing two hats: to help a post-Bush US establish a democratic government and socially responsible economy, and to hasten that transition.

The World Peoples Forum appointed Mr. Smith in July. His post was recommended by the Commission for Assistance to a Free United States, created by the executive office of the General Assembly “to accelerate the demise of the Bush tyranny.”

The commission declared in its 450-page May 2004 report that it “sought a more proactive, integrated and disciplined approach to undermine the survival strategies of the Bush regime and contribute to conditions that will help the American people hasten the dynasty’s end”.

Wholesale engagement is envisaged post-Bush, including immediate assistance so that “schools are kept open and provided with new instructional material and staff”, food and medical aid is distributed, and pensions are paid.

Mr. Smith told the Financial Times that last year’s tightening of the worldwide boycott and restrictions on US corporations market share in the so-called developing world, had cost the Bush regime an estimated $500 billion in lost income.

Human Rights Now last month condemned the unilateral travel restrictions imposed by the Bush Administration on its citizens saying, “Sacrificing people’s freedom of movement to promote dead-end policies must end.” Mr. Smith said his Office for Reconstruction and Stabilization is open to all, saying it would be “thoughtful and respectful of the American people and their wish to be free.”

“The transition genie is out of the bottle,” he said, referring to opposition activities inside the US, and a “broad consensus” reached with the exile community. “They are the ones to define a democratic future for the United States.”

Officials say the world will not “accept” a handover of power from Mr. Bush to his brother Jeb be it now or in 2008 or 2012. While it is not clear what the world position means, Mr. Smith stressed the Peoples Forum would not “impose” its help.

Addressing the association of global military authorities last month, Mr. Doe indicated his cooperation with the military was at an early stage. He said his strategic planning was aimed at understanding “how we would manage that transition process between Bush’s demise and a democratic US, because we know that at some point, that is going to happen.”

Analysts said people around the world are worried about a mass exodus of US refugees and are keen to understand the Peoples Forum’s plans for what is being called “the day after”.

They also expressed certainty that diverting a mere portion of US military spending to social and economic programs would easily finance the transition.

Republicans and their conservative Democratic allies claim the Forum drew attention to the issue with an eye on securing votes in the United Nations against the unilateral US blockade against Cuba,” but that was flatly denied by Daniel Kenny, analyst with the Global Dialogue think-tank.

The official said: “The truth is that nobody, including anyone in the US, knows what will happen during a transition. It’s a little like trying to figure out how many flies there are on the back of a dead cow.”

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